Gabriel Murphy's Weblog - Sports

Long Season Ahead

nospam@example.com (Gabriel Murphy) — Fri, 24 Aug 2007 18:00:10 -0700

After the 7-30 blowout by the Saints against the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead yesterday, I now regret spending $8,000 on four club level season tickets. The Chiefs are now 0-3 in the preseason and although it is just the pre-season, it is a glance of the regular season ahead.

The Chiefs kickoff the regular season with what will likely be a road victory against the Houston Texans, then will fall on the road at Chicago and Miami in weeks 2 and 3. The Chiefs get the Vikings for their homeopener on September 23, and will likely win this contest, making them 2-2. The week after, they will start a 3 game loosing streak, starting with an away loss to San Diego, a loss to Jacksonville at home in week 5, and a loss to the Bengals at home. The Chiefs will likely be 2-5 after week 7.

Infact, the Chiefs are very likely to drop both home and away games to San Diego and Denver this year, accounting for 4 losses to division rivals. The Chiefs will surely (hopefully) sweep Oakland or at least split the series. The Chiefs will likely win the away contest versus Oakland, taking their record to 3-4 going into their week 8 bye.

Hosting Green Bay, the Chiefs will surely win but will turn around and drop a home game to Denver the following week. Week 11 takes Kansas City to Indianapolis, where Kansas City will certainly loose. Coming home into week 12 with a record of 4-6, they will improve to 5-6 against the Raiders at Arrowhead. An early December game (December 2) against San Diego could work to the benefit of Kansas City, but unlikely, resuting in a record of 5-7 at the conclusion of week 13.

The Chiefs will then loose the next two games to Denver @ Denver and the Titans at Arrowhead, falling to 5-9 with two more games. Kansas City will be mathematically eliminated from playoff contentions in week 14 or 15. The Chiefs will defeat Detriot on the road and likely loose their last game of the season to the Jets away, ending their season at a dissappointing 6-10.

Perhaps the Chiefs pull off a victory against the Jets and/or Denver/Tenessee at home. If so, consider the best case scenario for Kansas City to be 8-8. Whether it is 8-8 or 6-10, it will be a long season.

Chiefs 2007 Schedule & Predicted Results

nospam@example.com (Gabriel Murphy) — Tue, 30 Jan 2007 08:12:20 -0800

Here is the 2007 Kansas City Chiefs home and away schedule:

Kansas City will likely loose to Cincinnati as Arrowhead as Cincinnati will be an improved team over their 2006 squad. Same holds true for Jacksonville which Kansas City barely beat at home in 2006. However, the Chiefs may find a way to win one of the two games against Cincinnati and Jacksonville. I strongly believe that Kansas City will drop to Tennessee at Arrowhead as Vince Young will lead the Titans to the AFC North title over Indianapolis in 2007. The Chiefs will likely beat both Green Bay and Minnesota at Arrowhead.

Kansas City is likely to loose to Denver at Arrowhead (though it is common Denver and KC split their division series) and the Chiefs will most certainly loose to San Diego at Arrowhead if the game is in weeks 1-10 (good to fair weather). If the home game versus the Chargers is in late November or December at Arrowhead, the Chargers will likely loose to Kansas City. Kansas City will handily defeat Oakland at Arrowhead.

The Chiefs should pull off road victories against Houston and certainly Detroit. Kansas City will most certainly fall to Indianapolis and likely loose to the N.Y. Jets, who will be much improved over the 2006 squad. The Chiefs will also likely fall to Chicago at Soldier Field and will also loose to division rivals Denver and San Diego on the road, but will pull off a victory on the road against Oakland.

Overall, Kansas City will have a home record of between 3-5 and 4-4, the difference being a win against either Cincinnati or Jacksonville. Best case is Kansas City is 0.500 at home in 2007.

The Chief's away record will look something like 3-5, perhaps best case 4-4 as Kansas City is likely to pull off victories against Houston, Detroit and Oakland. Winning a forth road game will have to come at the expense of Denver at Mile High (unlikely, but if the game is in week 1-6 could be possible), N.Y. Jets (very unlikely) or Chicago / Indianpolis (almost impossible). Thus, the best Kansas City can expect for a road record in 2007 is 3-5.

Overall, Chief's fans can look forward to an overall record of best case 8-8 and a more likely case of 6-10. Likely the record will fall in between- if I had to guess the overall record I would go with 7-9 with the theory the Kansas City will find a way to win at home against either Jacksonville or Cincinnati.

7-9 overall record, 2-4 division record. Third in AFC West- Kansas City will miss the 2007 playoffs.

Superbowl XLI Line is Colts by 7

nospam@example.com (Gabriel Murphy) — Tue, 30 Jan 2007 07:45:00 -0800

As much as I hate to admit it, it is likely that Indianpolis will win Superbowl XLI. However, given a 7 point advantage I would take the Bears. Manning, like Grossman, has not been to the big dance and is likely to committ some mikstakes (turnovers). I suspect Grossman will play more conservative as he has throughout the playoffs, while Manning will likely make at least 40 pass attempts. I expect that Addai will be held to 100 rushing yards.

The Bears defense is likely to ensure the Bears will the takeaway game, leading me to believe that the margin of victory will be below a touchdown. Just mabye Chicago can find a way to pull out the victory as they did impressively with the Saints.